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Thursday, May 26, 2022

Supercomputer predicts final Prem table but will Arsenal or Spurs grab fourth?

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TOTTENHAM piled the pressure on Arsenal in their quest for a Champions League place after their thumping 3-0 North London derby win.

Harry Kane scored twice as Spurs closed the gap to the Gunners to just THREE points with two games to play.

Tottenham thumped Arsenal 3-0 on Thursday night but the Gunners are still favourites to snatch the final Champions League spots, according to the stats


Tottenham thumped Arsenal 3-0 on Thursday night but the Gunners are still favourites to snatch the final Champions League spots, according to the statsCredit: Alamy

And according to data from FiveThirtyEight, Mikel Arteta’s side WILL cling on to their top-four place.

Arsenal have relegation-battling Everton and Newcastle to play, while Tottenham have Championship-bound Norwich, as well as Burnley, still to go.

And the stats suggest the Gunners will be playing in next season’s Champions League.

The red half of North London have a 54 per cent chance to nabbing a top-four spot, while Spurs are slightly further back on 46 per cent.

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Liverpool and Manchester City have already secured their place at Europe’s top table, with Chelsea boasting a 99% chance to joining them with just two games to play.

Manchester United and West Ham recently fell out of the race for a top-four spot and will now fight Tottenham and Arsenal for the Europa League and Conference League places.

Spurs’ strong form has had an impact elsewhere in the table, too.

Antonio Conte’s side frustrated Quadruple-chasing Liverpool in a 1-1 draw last weekend – and the Reds now have just a SEVEN per cent chance of snatching the Premier League crown from City.


At the other end of the table, Everton’s recent resurgence has seen them climb to 16th and they are now just a six per cent shot to go down after a serious wobble saw them become the favourites to join Watford and Norwich.

Southampton have a less-than one per cent chance of heading into the second tier.

So it seems to be a straight shootout between Leeds and Burnley to avoid the dreaded drop.

Leeds’ horrendous form has seen them become the favourites – with a 64 per cent shot of heading back to the Championship.

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Burnley’s decision to sack Sean Dyche appears to have paid off, with the Clarets having just a 31 per cent chance to going down – level on points with the Elland Road side, with a game in hand.

Leeds face Brighton and Brentford, while Burnley have a slightly tougher run – with Tottenham, Aston Villa and Newcastle on the horizon.

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